Favorite Phobia is a form of psychosis that afflicts otherwise reasonable and rational bettors during baseball season. Victims of the dread Favorite Phobia are filled with fear and loathing at the mere thought of a money line set at 2-1 or higher. As the line on a favorite rises above –160, sufferers begin to shake. The closer the line gets to 2-1 the worse the shaking becomes. At –200, the Favorite Phobic hits the wall... Read more

Last Saturday, a pay-after-you-win internet sports handicapper promoted a "Teaser of the Year." His recommended teaser was a 7-point beauty on Rutgers/Oregon. Both teams were favored by 5.5 points, and were teased to +1 1/2. Rutgers took a bath, making the teaser a hideous loser at odds of 13-10 for most people. As I thought about the selections and the promotion, I couldn't help but wonder what a "Teaser of the Year... Read more

For the two prior games at Orlando I have told subscribers that the predicted point differential is 4 to 5 pts. The first game ended regulation at a 4 point differential, and the second game ended regulation within just two baskets of the prediction. Tonight's prediction hasn't changed. With the line set at -3 1/2 the game isn't playable. Many of you will be watching the game tonight, and want to have some action on it... Read more

When you bet $100 flat on a single game you get back $91. When you bet $100 flat on a 2-team parlay, you get back $260. Do you know which has the higher return on investment (ROI)? The answer is not as easy as it looks. ROI is calculated by dividing your total win by your total amount invested. The total amount invested is another way of saying "the total amount you put at risk." ROI for Straight Bets... Read more

Last Tuesday night, the posted total in the Detroit/Chicago game opened at 190, ran down to 188 ? and 10 minutes before the game started ran back up to 191 or 191.5 in some places. If you bet the "under" after the line ran down to 188.5 because you were trying to follow the smart money, or you bet the "over" after the line ran back up to 191 for the same reason, you are betting exactly wrong. You can't win long term trying... Read more

Team depth is one of the most important factors to consider when handicapping the college basketball tournaments. Teams that normally play only 30 games for the entire season may suddenly be playing as many as 3 games back-to-back or 4 games in 7 days. Some teams may play one or more overtime periods and then be required to come back and play again the next day. Syracuse, for example, played 6 overtime periods... Read more

Last night, the total in the Motor City Bowl was set at 70. At the Crowne Club we had our biggest play of the Bowl season so far on the UNDER. Offensively, Florida Atlantic has averaged 25 points per game this season, and Central Michigan has averaged 30. The combined offensive points total 55 -- far under the posted total. Defensively, Florida Atlantic has allowed 29 points per game, and Central Michigan has allowed... Read more

Here are the best props for the Monday, October 24 game between Denver and New England. As I said last week, proposition bets are the most profitable bets available for the small bettor. Unfortunately, you can't bet them big, but you can win an unusually high percentage. TEAM TOTAL: Take N.E. under 26. With Matt Cassel at QB expecting 27+ points is wishful thinking. N.E. has scored more than 26 points in only one game... Read more

"A Tony Dungheap by any other name would smell as foul." - Rob "Shakespeare" Crowne, circa today from the play "Tonio and Zorniette." "It was the best of games, it was the worst of games." Charles Dickens Crowne, from a "Tale of Two QB's." Every handicapper and tout in creation has his Hall of Fame Game of the Year today. Can the line in this Hall of Fame Game be that far off? It can be, but it's NOT! All the Hall of... Read more